Key findings
In July 2026, we surveyed 2,316 residents in Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo counties to understand attitudes and preferences around offshore wind energy development. Here’s what we found:
Responsible offshore wind development for clean, affordable energy
California is transitioning to a zero-carbon, clean electric grid to cut pollution and lower power bills. The state aims to have 100% renewable and zero-carbon electricity by 2045, and to reduce greenhouse gas emissions 80% below 1990 levels by 2050.
To meet these targets, California must build about 6 gigawatts (GW) of new wind, solar, and clean energy storage resources each year.1 Most pathways for achieving our zero-carbon energy target include building at least 10 GW of offshore wind off the California coast.1 In the California Energy Commission’s modeling, the scenario that included 10 GW of offshore wind had a $1 billion lower total resource cost in 2045 than the scenario without it ($66 billion versus $67 billion).2
Two ocean areas have been leased for offshore wind off the California coast: one near Humboldt County in Northern California, and one off the coast of San Luis Obispo County. The San Luis Obispo County wind energy area is divided and leased to three wind developers. Offshore wind can take a long time to prepare for and build, because it requires development of port and transmission infrastructure. The State of California has already allocated tens of millions of dollars toward these infrastructure investments. However, since March 2026, the federal government has paid several companies to give up their leases to build offshore wind turbines in U.S. waters,3 including two of the three companies holding leases off San Luis Obispo County.4,5
California sent notice of its intent to sue in June 2026 and filed suit in September as a formal response.4,5 Meanwhile, state and local governments can still take actions that set the Central Coast up for offshore wind development: building out local port infrastructure to support operations and maintenance, upgrading transmission lines, and building battery storage to ensure clean power can be stored and used when needed most. Local and regional research on how offshore wind potentially affects marine ecosystems, and how those effects can be mitigated, can also continue in the meantime.
Offshore wind energy off the Central Coast will impact San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, and Ventura counties and local communities must be involved in responsible development. This report, drawing on a large tri-county survey, aims to broadly understand residents’ attitudes and preferences on offshore wind development off California’s coast.
What we did
We collected a total of 2,316 survey responses via an online questionnaire between July 14 and July 29, 2026. To invite survey respondents, we sent physical mailers to a random selection of residential addresses across Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo counties. Any adult resident of the household could respond; the survey was not limited to registered voters. Respondents completed the survey online and could respond in English or Spanish. To ensure robust feedback from residents living nearest to the proposed offshore wind projects, we intentionally oversampled communities along the coastal San Luis Obispo shoreline (see map below). Participants received a $5 gift card upon completion, and final results were statistically weighted by demographic data to accurately represent the broader population.
- 1,054San Luis Obispo County respondents, closest to the current wind lease area655 from the oversampled coastal target area, 399 from the rest of the county · margin of error about ±5 pp
- 692Santa Barbara County respondentsmargin of error about ±6 pp
- 570Ventura County respondentsmargin of error about ±5 pp
- Methods Appendix (PDF) →
We surveyed all three counties because the workforce, ports, and transmission lines that offshore wind would depend on extend along the coast beyond San Luis Obispo County; the Port of Hueneme in Ventura County, for example, could support workforce development.
We also estimated census tract level opinion using statistical methods, including neighborhoods with few responses. The analysis is visualized in a map under Finding 3 and the Methods Appendix describes the model in more detail.
Throughout the report and the accompanying briefs, percentages are rounded to the nearest whole number, so numbers may not add up exactly. In the report, hover over the bar to see the nearest decimal. For more detail into our methodology, see the Methods Appendix.
What we found
While the Central Coast is one of two California lease areas slated for offshore wind development, many residents are still not very familiar with offshore wind energy or have no knowledge of it.
Among all respondents, more than half (54%) were not very familiar with offshore wind energy or had no knowledge of it. Familiarity is highest in San Luis Obispo County, closest to the lease area, and lower in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties.
A majority of Central Coast residents support offshore wind being developed off the California coast; about one in five have no opinion.
Overall, 57% of respondents support offshore wind off the California coast, and 22% oppose it, a gap of 35 percentage points. Support outweighs opposition in every county: by 39 points in Santa Barbara County, 37 in Ventura County, and 25 in San Luis Obispo County. Another 21% have not formed an opinion. Nearly all respondents with no opinion (96%) say they are not familiar with offshore wind energy. No opinion is also more common among younger residents (31% of 18–34 and 25% of 35–54, vs. 9% of 55 and older) and also among renters (28%, vs. 14% of homeowners).
In the coastal communities closest to the lease area, 52% support offshore wind, similar to the rest of the region, but opposition is higher than in the rest of the region.
To hear from the residents who live nearest to the proposed offshore wind developments, we oversampled seven coastal communities closest to the lease area. These residents have the most knowledge of offshore wind of anywhere in the region: 65% are familiar or very familiar with it, compared with 54% in the rest of San Luis Obispo County and 42–43% in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties. Only 8% of residents in the coastal target area have no opinion on offshore wind.
Support for offshore wind off the California coast is similar across the region, including in the coastal target area, where 52% strongly or somewhat support it. Opposition is higher in the coastal target area: 40% oppose, 12 points more than in the rest of San Luis Obispo County and roughly double the opposition in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties.
Zooming in beyond the county level: modeled census tract estimates
We estimated support for offshore wind in each census tract, a Census Bureau area of about 3,000 adults. In San Luis Obispo County, support leads opposition by narrower margins along the coast: by about 9 points in tracts within 2 kilometers (about a mile) of the shore, compared with about 30 points in tracts more than 10 kilometers (about 6 miles) inland. Santa Barbara County shows the opposite pattern, with the widest margins near the coast (about 50 points, vs. 26 farther inland).
Roughly seven in ten residents (68–75%, depending on the message they read) support offshore wind being developed off the Central Coast specifically.
When asked about offshore wind being developed off the Central Coast specifically, 68–75% of respondents support it. This question explained what offshore wind energy is and described the proposal for the Central Coast. It did not offer a “no opinion” option; residents had to choose a stance, so these figures are not directly comparable with the 57% support above. Before answering, each respondent was randomly shown one of five short messages about offshore wind, except for one control group, which received no message. Support was essentially the same no matter which message respondents saw: 68% in the no-message group and 68–75% across the message groups. The opposing message, stating that the turbines would be visible from shore with lights at night, did not affect the support level (68%, the same as the no-message group).
Support depends on how the power is used: it is about 20 points lower when the purpose is data centers.
We tested if support for offshore wind would change based on how the electricity would be used to understand local energy priorities. Each respondent was randomly assigned a message with a purpose for the offshore wind generated electricity: to power homes on the Central Coast, power homes across California, electrify homes, electrify schools and community buildings, electric vehicle charging, or to power data centers, and then asked how much they support it. For all the purposes besides data centers, around three-fourths of respondents were supportive (70–78%), and there was no meaningful difference in the level of support between power uses. Data centers, however, only received 55% support, about 20 points below the other messages.
In considering how offshore wind development could most benefit their communities, Central Coast residents prioritized local hiring, living wages, and job training, followed by affordable housing.
If offshore wind is developed off the Central Coast, there is the potential to negotiate “Community Benefit Agreements” with wind developers. These agreements would create benefits, investments, and/or programs that are designed by the local community and funded by the wind developers. Central Coast residents prioritized jobs for local residents, workforce development, and affordable housing, as well as transparent decision-making, community involvement, and green space and environmental programs.
Central Coast residents ranked energy bills, impacts on marine ecosystems, and energy independence — effectively tied — as the issues that matter most to them about offshore wind.
When asked about a variety of issues connected to the development of offshore wind, both positive and negative, three issues were effectively tied. Residents prioritized making energy more affordable and increasing energy independence, and expressed a concern for potential impacts to marine ecosystems and wildlife. Ongoing research into the relationship between offshore wind and marine ecosystems will therefore be important to local communities. Creating well-paying jobs in local communities and protecting against climate change were both issues that Central Coast residents ranked in the middle. They ranked new industrial facilities in ports and the visual impact of turbines from the shoreline lowest. San Luis Obispo residents ranked impacts to marine ecosystems as their top issue, with energy independence second. Santa Barbara residents prioritized energy affordability first, and impacts to marine ecosystems second. Ventura residents also prioritized energy affordability first, with energy independence second.
About three in four Central Coast residents oppose the federal government paying companies to cancel their offshore wind leases and invest in oil and gas energy.
In April and June 2026, the federal government paid two of the three Central Coast lease holders an estimated $232 million to end their leases: about $120 million to Golden State Wind4 and about $112 million to Invenergy.5 Each deal requires the company to invest an equal amount in other energy projects: oil and gas projects along the Gulf Coast in one case,4 and natural gas power plants in the Midwest and geothermal projects in the western U.S. in the other.5 Both agreements were announced (April 27 and June 17, 2026)4,5 before the survey was fielded (July 14–29).
When asked how much they support the federal government paying companies to cancel their offshore wind leases and invest in oil and gas energy, 73% of Central Coast residents oppose it, including half (50%) who strongly oppose; 27% support it.
Central Coast residents support the State of California taking legal action against the federal government over the buyouts, and support the state continuing to pursue offshore wind as a clean energy source for California.
Respondents showed strong backing for active state involvement in offshore wind development, even in the face of the federal buyouts. 76% support California continuing to build necessary port and transmission infrastructure. 74% support the state continuing its offshore wind development efforts overall, and 71% would support the State of California leading offshore wind development rather than private companies. 75% support California suing or pursuing other legal action against the federal government, with 53% in strong support. Legal action is the response that divides most by political ideology: 97% of liberals support it, 74% of moderates, and 39% of conservatives (table below).
Support for battery energy storage on the Central Coast outweighs opposition, but half of respondents are unfamiliar with it.
Battery energy storage systems store the electricity generated by clean power sources, like offshore wind, so that the power can be used when it is needed. 52% of Central Coast residents support battery storage facilities being built on the Central Coast, 22% oppose, and 25% have no opinion. Familiarity is similar to offshore wind: 52% are not very familiar with battery energy storage or have no knowledge of it. As with offshore wind, having no opinion goes with not knowing about the technology: nearly all of those with no opinion (97%) are not familiar with battery storage. Support is 55–56% in Santa Barbara and Ventura counties; San Luis Obispo County is more divided, with 47% in support and 37% opposed; 16% have no opinion, the lowest of the three counties. Support outweighs opposition by 39 points in Santa Barbara County and 36 in Ventura County, but by only 9 in San Luis Obispo County (and 9 in the target coastal area).
County results
Select a county on the map to see county-level findings and how it compares to the tri-county average. Since some demographics are more likely to respond to a survey than others, we adjust each county’s results to represent that county’s population (see the Methods Appendix for weighting methodology). The accompanying county-specific brief can be downloaded below.
Click a county on the map or choose one above.
Sources and citation
Source
UC Santa Barbara 2035 Initiative & UC Santa Barbara Community Labor Center, Central Coast Tri-County Offshore Wind Poll, July 2026.
Suggested citation: Brown-Law, A., Thomas, E., De Roche, G., Mariano, N., Boyd, L., Rhodes, C., & Mildenberger, M. (2026). Offshore Wind Energy on California’s Central Coast: Local Opinions and Priorities. UC Santa Barbara 2035 Initiative and UCSB Community Labor Center. 2035initiative.com/offshore-wind-polling
Methods Appendix
Details on sampling, weighting, question wording, the randomized experiments, and the census-tract model are in the Methods Appendix (PDF).
References
1. California Energy Commission, California Public Utilities Commission, & California Air Resources Board. (2021). 2021 SB 100 Joint Agency Report Summary: Achieving 100% Clean Electricity in California. energy.ca.gov/sb100
2. California Energy Commission. (2022). Offshore Wind Energy Development off the California Coast: Maximum Feasible Capacity and Megawatt Planning Goals for 2030 and 2045 (Report No. CEC-800-2022-001-REV). energy.ca.gov
3. Taxpayers for Common Sense. (2026). Offshore Wind Lease Buyouts (tracker; buyouts began in March 2026 with TotalEnergies). taxpayer.net; see also NPR, March 23, 2026, “Trump administration to pay French company $1B to drop U.S. offshore wind leases.”
4. U.S. Department of the Interior. (April 27, 2026). Interior Announces Two Historic Agreements to Promote Affordable, Reliable Energy Production in the United States (Golden State Wind, lease OCS-P 0564, Morro Bay Wind Energy Area: about $120 million in lease fees, with an equal investment in oil and gas, energy infrastructure and/or LNG projects along the Gulf Coast). doi.gov; California Energy Commission, June 23, 2026, notice of intent to sue.
5. U.S. Department of the Interior. (June 17, 2026). Interior Announces New Energy Agreement to Strengthen American Energy Security and Lower Costs (Invenergy: four leases including Morro Bay, $765 million in total, redirected to natural gas plants in Indiana, Wisconsin, Iowa, Kansas, and Missouri, and geothermal projects in the western U.S.). doi.gov; California Energy Commission, September 2026, second lawsuit announcement (Invenergy’s Morro Bay lease: more than $111 million).
AI assistance
Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5.5 assisted with graphic design, generating interactive figures from results, and documenting methods. No data was AI generated, and there is no AI-generated text in the main body of the report.